Give Me A Real Estate "Bubble Break"

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January 20, 2006

Here are some excerpts from an Inman News article from yesterday (1/19/2006):

S.F. Bay Area real estate sales dive

Median home price falls $16K from previous month

The median price paid for a Bay Area home was $609,000 last month. That was down 2.6 percent from November's record high of $625,000, and up 14.3 percent from $533,000 for December a year ago.

The annual price increase was the lowest since prices rose 13.1 percent to $474,000 in March 2004...

...A total of 9,347 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the region last month, down 3.8 percent from 9,717 for November and down 15.5 percent from 11,068 for December last year, DataQuick reported.
Let's put this into perspective:
  • Interest rates are going up (but still at historical lows),
  • Appreciation has been nothing short of fantastic the last few years,
  • Real estate gains are outpacing wage gains,
  • Affordability is at an all time low and
  • Headlines such as these: "Prices Dive" and "The Bubble is Breaking" are causing buyers to have second thoughts.
A $16,000 decline in aveage price in one of the wealthiest and high priced cities in the nation is hardly what I would call a DIVE! What does one expect? Double digit appreciation forever? Markets adjust. It is about time.

Give me a break and lift the fog on market perspectives!

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